James Madison and Elia Kazan: Theory and Practice
James Madison, Federalist 51:
The constant aim is…that the private interest of every individual may be a sentinel over the public rights.
Elia Kazan, on why he named names:
Reason 1: “I’ve got to think of my kids.”
Reason 2: “All right, I earned over $400,000 last year from theater. But Skouras [head of Twentieth-Century Fox] says I’ll never make another movie. You’ve spent your money, haven’t you? It’s easy for you. But I’ve got a stake.”
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Apropos of Dinkins’ comment, remember what Bill Clinton told us Obama told him during the campaign at the height of the financial crisis:
“He [Obama] said, ‘Tell me what the right thing to do is. What’s the right thing for America? Don’t tell me what’s popular. You tell me what’s right — I’ll figure out how to sell it.’”
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Wow, the hot wind is really blowing on this site.
Did all that wind come with a cigarette and a kiss after each of you were finished stroking your own egos?
No wonder our side doesn’t have a majority in Congress.
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I want to second what Jay Driskell said. After signing PPACA into law, Obama publicly, even angrily, reproached his critics on the left. His “shut up and sit your bitter ass back down” sounded more like Walter Lippmann’s ideal (in the 1920s) of technocratic governance than FDR’s “make me do it.” Also, broadening the subject to the modern Democrat party, Democrat mandarins have a bizarre affinity for the ludicrous worldview of Bill Gates. I haven’t found commentator with a sharper eye for this crap than David Rieff:
http://www.tnr.com/blog/foreign-policy/78784/the-gates-foundations-delusional-foreign-aid
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I’d like to comment on how interesting this dialogue and commentary has been to read. Obviously, this is intelligent and coherent analysis and it would not be within my skill level to criticize the content or the tone (which appears to be rather less than angry as I have seen in other commentaries). Thank you for that. From the perspective of an Independent Gay moderate socialist, it does however baffle me that people are still trying to encapsulate Obama by identifying who is like and why he does what he does. As a neo-political-hacktivist, and a member of the lgbt community, my only concern initially was the equality for lgbt community and the reversal of offshoring policies. Obama is and I believe always will be the strongest supporter of the lgbt community in the history of the United States, especially considering that barely half of the people NOW support gay marriage, and was much lower when he was elected.
He’s done exactly what he promised and I am thrilled and satisfied 100% with his performance in the area of lgbt equality.
On the issue of economics, I may be missing the nuanced discussion where you are considering that less than a month after being sworn into office, the Tea Party was born and initiated a popular right wing revolt against Obama that has been hugely successful thanks to Citizens United and billionaire investment from every single free market group from Heritage Foundation and beyond. This is very similar to the American Liberty League that tried to overthrow FDR. The difference now is social media and constant news updates to the ‘small people’ have created a completely new dynamic that is extremely powerful and has had enormous effects unlike anything else in history. This hasn’t only affected Obama, but all of government local and national. This cannot be ignored, nor can the power of FOX which only heavily entered the propaganda business in 1995 or 1996. That plus Rush Limbaugh’s decades of flowing hatred against all things liberal has shifted the national discourse and the common people are more ‘conservative’ in their own eyes and can therefore be easily swayed against liberal ideology simply by the power of right wing media. It is highly effective. I know many ‘independent gays’ who instantly stopped liking Obama because FOX convinced them that he was a usurper and a out-of-control spender and they totally ignored his actual record on lgbt equality. Even when I pushed the facts on them, they seemed completely untrusting of me, a friend they have had for more than 20 years, simply because my ‘facts’ didn’t jibe with their ‘FOX talking points’. This seriously cannot be ignored. Clearly, the dynamic between the public and the government has rotted since Nixon. This is the liberal weakness, not Obama’s weakness. Until ALL liberal politicians and groups start vocalizing and pushing the ideology that IS American Liberal Politics, and using the same techniques as FOX – repeat, repeat, repeat, hammer, hammer, hammer, then one single president will never be able to foist any ideology on any person who mistrusts the government by nature.
To me, this is why the average public citizen may criticize the right, yet instinctively trust them, because they also sense the right’s hate for government. Even if the public actually supports socialist ideals in essence, they balk at the term ‘socialist’ and ‘liberal’ because of the last 40 years of right wing libertarian asto-turfing, messaging, and the overall effect of selfishness and the gospel of prosperity working its way through religious groups and mainstream society. All of these factors play a direct roll in why liberal politics get the shaft and conservatives can lie all day long and still get 46% support. I believe we must all shift our main priorities away from trying to pin everything on Obama or other perceived ‘imperfect liberals’ and focus on the root cause of our social illness – the lack of faith in government. This will obviously not ever be fixed by Obama keeping all of his promises as it is evident that the left will never be happy with even the smallest compromise with the obstructionist republicans even in the face of a house minority, lack of supreme court support, 20+ states in the pocket of the Koch Brothers, and lack of message power in the media. Remember when all the news stations cut away from Nancy Pelosi when she said she wasn’t going to talk about Congressman Weiner? It’s not just Obama who has a problem with the media – it’s the media who has no taste for reasonable truth, but rather sensational tabloid “bat-boy” insanity and lies. Society is rotting and selfishness and greed rule the day. That’s never a good thing for ‘collectivism’.
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A lot of the criticisms being waged here towards Obama seem to be completely disconnected from political reality. They also remind me a lot of the criticisms that Bill Clinton dealt with from the left when he was President. He was a sell-out with no convictions that was probably a crypto-fascist.
It was this sense of defeatism from the left that enabled George Bush to beat Al Gore. And it was the discovery of the actual differences between Clinton and the right that made the left look at the man they were constantly disappointed with as a liberal lion after he left office.
Being President of the United States is, first and foremost, about compromise. Always has been. As a matter of fact the Presidents that were the least conciliatory(Jackson, Buchanan, Tyler) were among our worst presidents.
People always want to believe that if the President simply did what they wanted him to do, then there would be a natural groundswell of support for him that would carry him to political victory. But the reality is that this is usually not the case. There are no hidden political tides just waiting to be tapped.
Obama made one huge mistake in this entire debate. He did not believe that the Republican leadership would allow the entire economy collapse. He did not factor that the radicals of the Republican Party would most certainly watch the entire economy collapse before surrendering their ideological purity.
But ultimately I also believe that many are grossly overstating the impact of this deal. The bulk of the cuts have been kicked down the road several years where a different Congress will have to accept being on the hook for cuts to defense and entitlements. The Bush tax cuts are still set to expire at the end of next year and the debt ceiling is now off the table for 2 years.
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“There are no hidden political tides just waiting to be tapped.”
Really? Tell that to the millions of struggling people who voted for Tea Party candidates because they did a better job of selling economic populism than Democrats have done in decades. Obama has a unique opportunity to appeal to the middle-and-below classes of America, but he’s avoiding that opportunity because he thinks it’s more important not to offend Wall Street.
“Obama made one huge mistake in this entire debate. He did not believe that the Republican leadership would allow the entire economy collapse.”
This is an interesting point, and I’m inclined to agree. Obama genuinely did not understand that politicians could be arguing for something that they were willing to back up with votes, since he’s really never done that himself.
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“People always want to believe that if the President simply did what they wanted him to do, then there would be a natural groundswell of support for him that would carry him to political victory. But the reality is that this is usually not the case.”
We’ll never know, will we? Since he won’t do those things. People aren’t pissed about losing a fight, they’re pissed about REFUSING a fight.
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If you really want insight into Obama’s worldview, I would watch this if you haven’t already. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CemfB_Z6elY
As for the comment about there being no daylight between Kristol’s and Obama’s worldviews, that might be one of the most absurd things I’ve ever heard. That sounds just like the line of thinking that got us eight years of the Bush Administration.
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I believe the Obama is “weak” and a “compromiser” claims can be put to rest. They will not die the death they deserve, but that is another matter.
Obama is, on economic matters, a neoliberal, and has used the GOP and Tea Party as his stalking horse, Their ideological rigidity and the commitments which follow from their rigidly held ideology pulled the debate over the public debt to the right. Obama used them to create a political situation in which he could pursue his austerity agenda. He also got a second Cat Food Commission, one with teeth.
Selling this debacle — along with the health care debacle, the compulsive war-making debacle — to the electorate will be a problem he must overcome if he wants to be reelected. But he’ll seek reelection with a massive war chest. Moreover, the GOP will likely help Obama by running a candidate that will not be an obvious and desirable alternative to the neoliberal and militaristic Obama.
Machine politics must always be bipartisan, to paraphrase Robert Lafollette and Walter Karp. It must be bipartisan if it is to be successful. And we can evaluate the success of this bipartisan system by estimating the electoral prospects of a left candidate for President in the 2012 election.
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great discussion, and thanks for going public with it. nader wuz right all aong…
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2008 indeed was Nader’s moment. But too many learned a lesson in 2000 that was utter nonsense. They concluded that the American political system was sufficiently healthy that it could reform itself.
What reason do we now have which would convince a rational person that one of the two legacy parties will produce a political reformer worth supporting?
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There is little practical difference between presidents Obama and Clinton (other than the personal one that Clinton seems more capable of critical analysis). The Obama presidency as it has played out was predicted by some on the left during the 2008 primaries (though I don’t think even those who warned against him imagined how bad it would be). The question now has to be: Is there a way that the Democratic Party can be a vehicle for economic justice and anti-militarism or do we need new institutions, including an independent party of the left, to more successfully organize behind progressive policies? Wouldn’t the Progressive Caucus in the House be much more effective, for example, if it were organized as the Progressive Party whose allegiance would have to be wooed by the center-right Democrats, instead of being taken for granted by them?
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All this talk of what Obama ‘wants’, and ‘feels deep inside, what he ‘believes’. It sounds like your boyfriends broke up with you.
You will a) never know what he truly feels and b) it doesn’t really matter..
Do a little exercise, do a rough tally of all the different real power structures in the country. Military contractors, financial organizations, bankers, think tanks, political parties, etc.
What % of real actual tangible power does he have? 1%? .1%? If he, truly, deep down inside, wanted to take on the establishment how far do you think he could get if that other 99% of power is opposed to him?
They parade an endless cast of characters in front of you and then toss him/her when his political capital as been exhausted. Here’s Reagan the California Conservative, look at how dumb and senile he is? Here comes Slick Willy, the suave womanizer from Arkansas. He’s done now, let’s bring back another Dumb Cowboy. Thank God he’s gone, here comes the suave Black Man with the foreign dad. He speaks so well!
It only seems like these characters are diametrically opposed to each other because you have an amplifier and magnifying glass focused on all their bickering. The system is very sophisticated and complex in the ways that it assumes power and concentrates wealth. Stop focusing on what color the wall paper is in the Senate Lobby.
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Its an interesting debate, Corey. Most has been said, and said well. Given all the famous race scholars who have chimed into this debate, I’m just going to ask what is obvious–are we giving racism enough ‘credit’ here? All along, a notable number of Republicans have treated Obama as undeserving of being president–even many GOP congressmembers seem angry and resentful of having a black person in power. He had to defend his birth and religion. And, because of racism in America, he can’t respond aggressively. To me, the most important statistic of his presidency is that his approval rating went up to only 53% after he assassinated bin Laden. And that isn’t because peace activists represented the other 47%. There is a significant population in America that hates him for his race. Is this entirely independent of corporate power, neoliberal ideology, a bad economy? of course not. But it is still significant.
Would he be more aggressive if he could be? I don’t know him, so I’m not going to psychoanalyze him. All along, he has seemed like a carbon-copy of Clinton from the day he started running. He’s scared, he’s corporate, he’s anti-union, he supports a lot of conservative pieces of the Democratic Party. But I’m amazed by the aggressiveness of white racism in America–and he has had to face it from Democrats and Republicans, even when he is bending over backwards to be as race-less as possible–and I think more than anything, that has defined/confined his presidency.
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I think one key point is (amazingly!) missing from this mix: BHO thinks he is breaking the back of the “movement” conservatives by leading from the remaining rump of the GOP. He is trying to woo not just independents but also moderate GOP-ers who are not comfortable with the rise of the rabid right and have no home. He means to provide that home one way or another, with the result that the extreme right once again becomes an isolated fringe.
I think he’s wrong in his analysis — tribal feelings too strong amongst all GOP-ers for enough to come over to Dem world. But I suspect he would like nothing better than for the extremists on the right to finally cut off the branch on which they’ve been sitting, and for there to be the center-right GOP and the center-left Dems.
Also left unsaid in the psycho-babble about BHO: he is also, I believe, trying to get the Congressional Dems to be better leaders. That’s why he is so deferential to Congress: he is trying to get them to start to think and act like they are in charge of something. Again, I think he’s wrong — can’t make steel beams out of jell-o. But I see precious few commentators commenting on it, which is likely due to too little time spent with CEO types, which are BHO’s bread and butter…
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“But I suspect he would like nothing better than for the extremists on the right to finally cut off the branch on which they’ve been sitting, and for there to be the center-right GOP and the center-left Dems.”
But this center-right GOP and center-left DP would amount to nothing more than a elite political consensus committed to implementing crappy policies. Pushing the GOP-reactionaries to the margins will not enable this centrist consensus to pursue sensible policies simply because the consensus would form over a commitment to bad policies. The Tea Party did not turn America’s centrists into idiots; the centrists were idiots who had to manage the crazy Tea Party.
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I find this rather breathtaking remark from Josh Cohen:
“I also think that critics like Greenwald and Krugman, who have zero political sense or experience, have been much too quick to be dismissive of the constraints. (I think Krugman is more careful on this issue than Greenwald.)”
You know, it’s kind of rich for a guy like Josh Cohen — who, I gather, was completely in the tank for Obama and his potential early on, to the point of being embarrassing — to be sneering at the supposed political obtuseness of Greenwald and Krugman, who were on to Obama’s political limitations from the get go. Who was right about how, say, the politics of bipartisanship would play out, and about where Obama would actually position himself on the spectrum of right to left — Greenwald and Krugman, or the likes of Josh Cohen?
As always, it’s the pundits who were wrong again and again who can’t help but decry the naivete of those who were right again and again.
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Agree. Saying Greenwald and Krugman have “zero political sense or experience” is ridiculous. If they don’t, then I shudder to think of what Cohen might think of the “political sense or experience” of almost everyone else on the planet. Talk about a high bar, to dismiss Krugman and Greenwald like that, so completely and sweepingly.
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“In the tank” is totally ignorant. If that is what you” gather”, you should try gathering the old-fashioned way (by actually learning something). I always thought Obama was a centrist, always thought he was in the same general political place as Cass Sunstein: that is how he ran (and that was his voting record, as close inspection showed). I thought he was a better candidate that the asshole (edwards), who I agreed with on a bunch of policy issues (esp. health care), and than Hillary. I have consistently said (on bloggingheads) that Obama’s policy directions have been consistent with how he ran: on health care (weak), on Afghanistan (interventionist), on trade. My complaint about Krugamn, more so about Greenwald, goes to their confident statements about what Obama could have gotten if only he did X, Y, Z. Krugman, as I said, is very consistently MUCH more qualified on these statements than Greenwald. My point is not about their disagreements with Obama on policy.
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The academics have focused on Obama’s mindset and motivations but have not really delved into why the electorate votes the way it does. What makes a candidate appealing? All elections are delusional to a certain extent, each candidate responsible for their brand. Very few actual voters conduct historical due diligence, and the press – for the most part – certainly doesn’t, at least not in any forum that the average voter would read. Voters seem to be more interested in their gut feels about a person; as in George W Bush’s case, whether or not they could have a beer with him. The question is: what are the factors that inform that “gut” reaction.
In making changes, it would be more useful to development movements that focused on fundamental structural changes instead of personnel changes. The trick is electing those willing to assist with those structural changes.
Weird how the election of Barack Obama is making people finally look at America’s structural foundation. And I don’t think it’s Barack Obama that’s making more people pay attention, I think it’s the chaos of the Bush years. Barack Obama just happens to be the post-Bush guy.
I agree that Barack Obama knows how to take advantage of a system that’s been in place for the past few decades. Good for him. That’s what politicians do. I think to a certain extent some on The Left deluded themselves into thinking they were voting for Shaft instead of a complex human being.
BTW, Adolph Reed sounds completely disgusted with Barack Obama.
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“Weird how the election of Barack Obama is making people finally look at America’s structural foundation. And I don’t think it’s Barack Obama that’s making more people pay attention, I think it’s the chaos of the Bush years. Barack Obama just happens to be the post-Bush guy.”
I differ from you even though I believe/sense/suspect that some Americans are considering the structural features of American politics. My belief/suspicion/sense is that Americans can see a depressing future before them but cannot see a political movement or party that will, if enabled by an electoral victory, divert the country from this depressing future. The structural features they are considering are those which point to the practical impossibility of having another future. Today we cannot expect either party to pursue rational reform of the polity or the economy. That is the lesson Obama has taught us.
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Well, that was edifying. No, not about Obama. About the lint-free laboratories in which pundits operate, where assertions fly free of evidentiary friction, hypotheticals are conjured out of thin air, and responsibility and accountability are absent.
The participants in this discussion couldn’t reach consensus as to why Obama is Satan. They just know he is. Perhaps some White Supremacists, Tea Partyers, and the Koch Brothers should have been invited to the discussion. Even more varied opinions could have been introduced.
As a progressive, I cringe when I witness outer-fringe lefties masticating a topic, any topic.
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Corey: you misread what I said. Of course Krugman does not have greater “qualifications.” What I said was that Krugman is more careful to qualify his own political judgments: that is, his judgments about what was and what is possible to get done. He is more hesitant and circumspect when he makes them.
Let me be clear on this: these guys are both brilliant critics, and Krugman has also been fantastic at proposing constructive ideas. Goes without saying. I read both of them (Krugman more consistently), and am in their debt. I was making a very specific criticism: about their judgments about what is politically feasible. That is what I mean by “political sense.” I agree on this with the recent Mark Schmitt piece that we did in Boston Review. I think the same of Chomsky: a genius to whom we all owe a great deal. But Noam will be the first to tell you not to come to him for political insight….that is, for judgments about what is politically feasible. He does not make those judgments.
In any case, I think this is all a sideshow. The big issue is this: BHO nows says that he promises to focus on jobs. Who has a strategy for making him (and other Democrats) keep that promise?
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My pithy and profane take expands on a point brought up above by more than one person: Who gives a fuck about Obama the person? Only those who once thought him something other than what he obviously was, or who are disappointed for really no good reason. That “break-up” feeling should be long gone.
Presumably, he’d be whore enough, like any savvy pol, to follow the public if it spoke long and loudly enough. It’s our fault, primarily, even with all the “reasons” — we on the left have let it happen.
Personally, I’m more disgusted with the vaunted Obama Army than with Obama, who is what he is. I suppose that despite what I just wrote in the first para above, people will have to go through their break-up angst and anger as they hit their own cog-diss maxes. Fine, but I wish they’d hurry up the process because time is running very short.
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Thanks for this thread. It has been quite enlightening. Two things:
First, Obama’s ideas/ideology as well as disposition to fight are germane when talking about the outcome of the debt-ceiling crisis for surely there has been a, for lack of a better term at the moment, “dialectical” relationship between those ideas and disposition and the larger array of institutional/structural forces both enabling and constraining the administration. BHO has been locked in a cascading set of increasingly bad choices. The fact that he made strategic missteps at the beginning point of his first term where he had the most room to maneuver (political capital) has haunted his steps since. Despite all the talk about being the grownups in the room, the administration has consistently lacked realism about its opponents. We’ve had nearly twenty years of experience of people like Gingrich, Delay, and other Republican politicians and their modus operandi. Thinking that this would change was a serious miscalculation. Obama’s seminar-style bipartisanship has been incredibly naive in the age of Fox News and Rush Limbaugh-dominated Republican Party. I think Krugman is right when he talks about the mistake that BHO made at the beginning of his term in not going after a much larger stimulus. This almost certainly had something to do with the set of economic advisers surrounding him and the oursized influence of Wall Street on administration economic policy. Had he gone larger initially (and before the onset of the Tea Party grasstroturf organizing), there might have been a better chance of economic recovery (and one that could have been seen as such by the larger American public). This, rather than health care, might have been the better initial fight as he could have set the tone and agenda of the debate about the role of the state in the economy during a crisis. It was much harder to make that sort of argument with the health care legislation because its main effects will not be seen for a few years yet and given that the legislation is seen as a permanent extension of the state into the economy, the bogeyman of “socialism” could be trotted out.
At this point in time, Obama’s disposition and ideology is much less important (which is not to say unimportant) because those initial decisions were some of the conditions for the formation of the Tea Party backlash and the 2010 election results which now limit his freedom of action. Unless we examine the disposition and ideology, we cannot understand how it is that we got to where we are.
Second, I find it odd that there are people arguing that, on the one hand, the office of the presidency is just a minor cog in the machinery of state, overdetermined by the larger structural, political, and economic forces in US society which absolve Obama of responsibility for the current capitulation (less prejuidiced language: compromise); and on the other hand, waving the specter of an apocalyptic Palin or Bachman presidency as reason to tow the Obama line during the campaign. If the power of the presidency is so constrained as to be epiphenomenal, then surely we should not be worrying quite so much over the takeover of the office in 2012. I am sure that I must not be understanding the argument.
In any case, I like to see this thread continue. It has certainly given me much food for thought.
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Any one here paying any attention to the IMF and what they’ve been demanding and getting everywhere in the world? http://tinyurl.com/3tx7fxv (UK) http://tinyurl.com/3jxabhp (Greece). These political and economic discussions and measures mirror exactly our recent experience.
The IMF is viewed by much of the world as an arm of Wall Street and US Government policy. The key difference, of course purely for reasons of definition, is that we don’t use the term IMF in our country. Greenwald’s ferocious adherence to the facts, not motives, is the antidote to the incredibly insulated views in the above comment thread.
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To Jodie Dean:
I went to the web page that your name (above) is connected to. There is a link to your curriculum vitae that does not work (404 server error)
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You point to the answer yourself. All his appointments from the beginning were conservative Clintonites. Doesn’t sound like someone that tried to be a rebel and got pushed back….
If you want to go down the psychoanalyzing route, no person (especially a black man in america), can rise through conservative organizations and power structures (and yes, the democratic party is a conservative organization) that quickly and rapidly by being an agitator or rebel.
As Matt Taibbi pointed out, do you think the businessman that spend every minute of their lives focused on protecting and expanding their billions of dollars of wealth really would throw their money behind Barry if he was going to vote against their interests?
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To Dorian Warren:
“I think the problem with this conversation is that it’s too high up in the air. All of us are discussing Obama and the “big” policy deals/outcomes from 30,000 feet up. Okay, true, in every case there was capitulation and non-progressive results which now show somehow who the “true” Obama is. Fine, I agree with that as far as it goes, which frankly isn’t far.”
When discussing Obama’s politics we are forced by circumstances to adopt the aerial perspective because Obama practices his politics 30,000 feet up in the air. I would not expect a microanalysis of the Obama government (the politicians and the bureaucracies they manage) to yield an insight into Obama’s inclinations and strategies. Obama may be directly or indirectly responsible for the whole of the federal government, but it’s highly unlikely that his intentions saturate the whole federal bureaucracy. These limits to the Presidency exist by constitutional design in any case.
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@stephen zielinski. I disagree. We are not “forced by circumstances to adopt the aerial perspective…”. This is an analytical choice, and frankly the far easier and lazier one. The sum of Obama’s politics isn’t 30,000 feet up in the air; that’s at best half the story. You can’t claim Obama is a sellout because he appoints Geitner, Summers, et. al. on the one hand, and then *ignore* his other appointees to other cabinet posts and federal agencies that run in the exact opposite direction on the other. No, his intentions don’t saturate the entire bureaucracy, but they do at the top level, especially when folks use his neoliberal appointees as “evidence” of his politics. My main point was that there are clear contradictions in terms of the politics of his presidency, which emerge depending on where you look.
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You know, it would be a lot easier to take you seriously if, in advance of actual events, you got something important right.
Where, for example, in 2008 and earlier is there ANY sense of just how badly an Obama Presidency would turn out? Where? Merely saying that you regarded his views as something rather centrist hardly does any justice to just how far to the right Obama’s policies have actually pivoted. Krugman gave Obama great flack over his praise of Reagan, and himself got great grief in return from Obama supporters for his views. Did you criticize Obama on this, or in any real way foresee how Obama would actually play out in terms of policy? Where is there any sense in whatever you may have said in 2008 of how deeply Obama would betray many of the ideals and specific policy proposals he espoused in his campaign?
And I happened to encounter one of your bloggingheads in which you were talking up — as if it were a very real possibility — the idea that Holder and Obama were going to go after the Bush gang for engaging in torture. You even presented an embarrassing “syllogism” to demonstrate how it surely will be so. Great call there, Josh. A fine political sense that little effort put on display. I should think that the very skeptical (if “purist”) Greenwald got this one a lot more right than you ever did.
And I repeat my earlier point: where is there in anything you said ANY indication that you understood the broad and pervasive disaster that “bipartisanship” would become? And you presume to lecture Krugman and Greenwald on their lack of political astuteness?
The very fact that you do presume to do so demonstrates that there is no justice in the world of pundits. Being importantly wrong only means you can go on to be importantly wrong again.
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1. I was not comparing my own expansive political experience and political sense with Krugman’s or Greenwald’s. Like them, I have never run for office, never run an organization, never had policy position. That makes me hesitant about registering judgments about what is possible, feasible, likely to happen. I think others should be similarly hesitant. (And I will say it again: Krugman often is.)
2. As for offering a syllogism for the conclusion that they would prosecute: I think you are confusing the conclusion that they WILL with the conclusion that they OUGHT TO, given their own premises. I never thought that they would. And would never have offered some deduction to that conclusion.
3. As for not predicting how far Obama has tacked to the right, I confess. But I thought we were having this discussion because most of all us find the extent of that move surprising. By “the extent,” I mean, for example, that his health care stuff was pretty centrist, as was the awful decision to go deeper in afghanistan, whereas the recent performance on debt/deficit has been more right and generally pathetic and defeated. And I think most people think (anyway, I think) that the extent of the move is partly a consequence of the rise of the Tea Party right and the 2010 election: not something that was easy to predict in 2008.
Most importantly, this whole thread is all of no real significance, though pissing and moaning is a great way to evade the hard issues about what to do. Instead of defending Glenn Greenwald, who is VERY good at taking care of himself, make some suggestions about how to hold feet to the fire in the next three months on the jobs issue. Say something specific: the worst that could happen is that someone will give you a hard time about in two years.
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Obama had a prescience of what he would become in “Audacity of Hope”:
Increasingly I found myself spending time with people of means—law firm partners and investment bankers, hedge fund managers and venture capitalists. As a rule, they were smart, interesting people, knowledgeable about public policy, liberal in their politics, expecting nothing more than a hearing of their opinions in exchange for their checks. But they reflected, almost uniformly, the perspectives of their class: the top 1 percent or so of the income scale that can afford to write a $2,000 check to a political candidate. They believed in the free market and an educational meritocracy; they found it hard to imagine that there might be any social ill that could not be cured by a high SAT score. They had no patience with protectionism, found unions troublesome, and were not particularly sympathetic to those whose lives were upended by the movements of global capital. Most were adamantly prochoice and antigun and were vaguely suspicious of deep religious sentiment.
And although my own worldview and theirs corresponded in many ways—I had gone to the same schools, after all, had read the same books, and worried about my kids in many of the same ways—I found myself avoiding certain topics during conversations with them, papering over possible differences, anticipating their expectations. On core issues I was candid; I had no problem telling well-heeled supporters that the tax cuts they’d received from George Bush should be reversed. Whenever I could, I would try to share with them some of the perspectives I was hearing from other portions of the electorate: the legitimate role of faith in politics, say, or the deep cultural meaning of guns in rural parts of the state.
Still, I know that as a consequence of my fund-raising I became more like the wealthy donors I met, in the very particular sense that I spent more and more of my time above the fray, outside the world of immediate hunger, disappointment, fear, irrationality, and frequent hardship of the other 99 percent of the population—that is, the people that I’d entered public life to serve. And in one fashion or another, I suspect this is true for every senator: The longer you are a senator, the narrower the scope of your interactions. You may fight it, with town hall meetings and listening tours and stops by the old neighborhood. But your schedule dictates that you move in a different orbit from most of the people you represent.
And perhaps as the next race approaches, a voice within tells you that you don’t want to have to go through all the misery of raising all that money in small increments all over again. You realize that you no longer have the cachet you did as the upstart, the fresh face; you haven’t changed Washington, and you’ve made a lot of people unhappy with difficult votes. The path of least resistance—of fund-raisers organized by the special interests, the corporate PACs, and the top lobbying shops—starts to look awfully tempting, and if the opinions of these insiders don’t quite jibe with those you once held, you learn to rationalize the changes as a matter of realism, of compromise, of learning the ropes. The problems of ordinary people, the voices of the Rust Belt town or the dwindling heartland, become a distant echo rather than a palpable reality, abstractions to be managed rather than battles to be fought.
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Dorian and others have rightly pointed to institutional, structural, and historical constraints to be considered when assessing Obama, and that we need a more fine-grained analysis of the work of his executive branch appointments. But there’s no getting around the powerful cultural role of the presidency in US politics – and how folks on the left understand Obama has strong implications for what we do politically right now for at least a couple of reasons. Two things have stymied activism on the left for the last three years, I think. One, as Adolph and others have said, is the liberal romance of Obama as a redemptive figure who, given the chance, will reveal ultimately himself as progressive – circumventing the need for social movement action on the wars, the economy, etc. The other, as Paul Frymer points out, is racial hatred of Obama, which is profound, deep, and given clear political direction by the Right. The Right’s logic of white racial populism over the last half century pitted an honest, hard-working “Middle America” against the liberal state above and blacks (understood as parasitic and criminal) below. Obama brings together both blackness and the state. Obama as signifier for the state itself opens the door for political identifications that are more profoundly pro-market and libertarian than at any prior moment of the populist right because racial animus can be attached to the state itself. (The Obama-asJoker image over the caption “Socialism” says it all about how racial antistatism operates now.) What Obama signifies politically for both supporters and haters has direct implications for mobilization and countermobilization, and indeed for how we understand the institutional constraints and possibilities in which he operates.
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Dorian Warren: :: The DOL is doing incredible wage enforcement work not seen even under Clinton. On the other hand, other agencies have clearly been captured by Wall Street: SEC, Commerce, Treasury, etc. And obviously I’d be the first to criticize BHO for never going to bat for labor law reform, even though he gladly took labor’s money and ground game. But then how do we square the difference between the SEC and the NLRB? ::
Easy. Obama needs active union support for his re-election, and to avoid any independent moves by labor. He’ll get it because they do understand how effective DoL and NLRB have been, and he’ll promise to push for card check in his second term. As worthless a promise as any of his others, but the actual progress inside DoL will keep the unions believing…
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>There is little practical difference between presidents Obama and Clinton (other than the personal one that Clinton seems more capable of critical analysis).
There was one enormous difference: the obvious failure of the Bush II presidency left Obama an opportunity for liberal change Clinton never had. Unfortunately, Obama saw his role as closing the door on that opportunity. That’s what his Wall Street backers expected, and that is what he delivered.
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Re this Capitulation tag that progressives seem determined to pin on Pres Obama. It seems to me that the real capitulators are Dem voters who basically “gave up” last fall, opting out of going to the polls because they were “disappointed” about one issue or another. I heard Alan Grayson say that only 40% of Democratic voters showed up at the polls in FL in November, compared to 60% of Republican voters. Voters who went with the Tea Party got mad, but instead of staying home like Dems, when they got mad they organized and voted. Dems got mad and stayed home. Tea Pary control of Congress was a choice; it’s not like they’re extreme views weren’t one display for all to see BEFORE the 2010 elections.
My main point: a lot of people are heaping blame on Barack Obama’s shoulder. But Democracy requires participation, not just every 4 years. Voters are responsible for the government they get. Congress passes laws; the House brings legislation to the floor. The election of Barack Obama didn’t change/alter that process. He didn’t get extra powers. Democratic voters capitulated last fall, added by progressive neurosis.
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This discussion is weirdly, obsessively and at times creepily focused on Obama.
Here’s the situation.
Without a big second stimulus the US economy will at best remain stuck in a Lesser Depression or what the Keynesians call a stable unemployment equilibrium.
With a big second stimulus the US economy would be more likely to jump from a Lesser to Greater Depression than from the Lesser Depression to renewed prosperity.
Obama has good reasons for believing this. Presently yields on Treasury bills continue to fall both because interest rates are expected to remain low on account of the economy remaining weak and because international investors are confident due to Obama’s neo-liberalism and gridlock that the debt won’t continue to accumulate that it will have to be radically monetized.
Obama has good reason to fear that a big second stimulus would engender fear of the debt being monetized away, and that whatever fiscal stimulus he gets will be neutralized by higher interest rates, which would probably blow up the real estate market and the economy as a whole. Exactly because the first stimulus was so moderate in the face of a huge crisis has the dollar remained strong.
Krugman would have us play with fire; the result could be very little stimulus due to foreign leakage and punishment in the bond market. But he’s a religious Keynesian which is based on a religious faith in markets being equilibrium machines that only require a push now and then.
Yet being a declining superpower only gives you so much autonomy from the constraints that other states face.
Obama realizes this; carping Keynesians do not.
You do see the point–he is screwed either way he goes.
Now of course Obama could move to an inflation target of, say, 4%, but that would roil the international markets as it would be experienced as a competitive devaluation and provoke retaliation. It could also lead to another implosion of the financial sector.
The problem is bigger than Obama or conventional politics. It a crisis rooted in civil society. The limits on the state’s steering capacities are limits on the state’s steering capacities, not the limitations of a single politician.
You’d have to be a Marxist to see that.
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No Naomi Wolf and no Chomsky. There are many other missing voices on this thread, ostensibly voices from the left.
Lafer agrees with Adolph. They both agree that Obama is a wholly unprincipled neo-liberal. It’s a label. Does it help soothe our injured psyches to call him that? Austerity as a political tactic, at this time in history, is designed to preserve the prerogatives of the very powerful, who need not practice it. My very conservative Republican brother-in-law will vote for Obama. He considers him a very, very pleasant surprise, although distasteful because he’s from Chicago and has a sordid political past. He was, after all, a Democrat. He will hold his nose, when he votes.
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To Dorian Warren:
“My main point was that there are clear contradictions in terms of the politics of his presidency, which emerge depending on where you look.”
My brief reply is: Where you see contradictions, I see facts which generate weak ambiguities that do not disturb much a political judgment strongly motivated by those compelling facts revealed by the aerial perspective. Adopting the aerial perspective certainly is an analytical choice, as you noted; however, it is not a frivolous choice.
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Jeff Cohen of Fair pretty much lays it out: http://therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&Itemid=74&jumival=7125
This is pretty much all one needs to know. It was obvious at the time, too, that this is what the O admin would do.
The only important questions are what to do about it. Anything else, strictly speaking, is a waste of time and energy.
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It’s not wrong to say, per Henwood, Greenwald, etc.that he wanted to pursue an austerity or bankers’ agenda. It’s just incomplete. Obama is perhaps trying to practice Rubinomics – a trimmed down though still minimally decent social safety net, vigilance about interest rates and inflation and concern for ensuring that major financial institutions can operate within a stable but favorable environment – in a context where it is impossible to do so, because the need for government spending is much greater now than it was in the mid-1990s, the GOP is more intransigent and fanatical than it was then (it’s all relative) and where, therefore, choosing between Wall Street’s prerogatives on the one hand and the needs of ordinary Americans on the other is more of a zero-sum game than it was then.
Obama’s faith in Rubinomics, in a context in which it’s not viable, will not appeal to independents and Elizabeth Drew’s recent NYRB piece made pretty clear that they’ve been the focus of his 2012 strategy (Ruy Teixeira has compellingly argued that this focus on independents is based on a serious misreading of who the independents are and what they want, something that Drew suggested as well). But this is relevant to your discussion because I don’t think it’s right to say that Obama is happy with the outcome – that it’s what he wanted. I think he’s stuck in his own faulty premises and convinced himself he was both being “responsible” about deficits and appealing to the political middle.
Here, he proved inept, not in the sense that he should have done more for a progressive agenda (we should all have been disabused of the notion that he’s a progressive reformer by now) but because this whole pivot toward deficit reduction hurts his re-election chances and I am sure he does want to be re-elected. If he wasn’t going to fight for jobs and clearly blame the Republicans for the bad job market and stagnant economy for the sake of justice and progressive values, at least we could have hoped that he would do so for the sake of political self-preservation.
IN sum, he wants austerity AND he has been inept.
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“We are where we are,” writes TS up there, because Obama dazzled progressives in publishing. Nonsense, we have been on our way here since late 1970s and Obama was not chosen for this until some time along in the progress. It’s startling – or perhaps not – that progressives here don’t consider that before Obama’s victory, the progressives with portfolios panicked when they were told the sky was falling (in 2008) and started shreiking “bail! bail!” as passionately as the ruling class could desire. Some here should remember, being among them. It was that baseless panic that set the stage for the wildly emotional takeup of the Obama brand, the widespread public attachment to him as to an eleventh hour saviour – and endowed it with the intensity of fan loyalty that has been so useful.
But this fascination with guessing at what’s inside BHO ( a Simon Critchley, Oprah Winfrey sort of obsession) tells its own story. The worst thing it signals is the short time frame fragmentation in which progressives are choosing to understand the ruling class war. Most discouraging – and most gratifying for the marketing experts hired to manage public opinion – is this the progressive decision to view reality the way the lawyers for the defence determined the jury should see the video of Rodney King’s assault. Because if the big factor is President Obama’s personal emotional life, then clearly the current ruling class policy is not being perceived in the context necessary to explain it, but is being mistaken for an effect of the interaction of that personality and a set of unforeseen circumstances.
If he were 100% cgi this would be as useful a debate as it is now. Obama was cast in this role and a public image was constructed for him to facilitate, among other things, this kind of pointless debate; the view that he personally (due to the qualities that suited him to play this part and spurred him choose this career) is the catastrophe, and that determining his interior experience is of moment, is as childish as the view that he personally would lead and indeed embody the working class struggle to push back some of the ruling class gains made under the Bush regime 2001-2008. The veneer of “progressive” – his brand – is a (perhaps necessary, perhaps merely useful) veil of legitimacy for the policies, radical and in many instances illegal, or newlegal or postlegal, those not illegal enabled by the postlegal environment and the credulity of progressives who buy one story of unforeseen disaster after another because it soothes the powerless managerial elites to believe they are smarter than those who rule over them and terrify them.
Obama’s persona is an asset to the ruling bloc of the ruling class, just his predecessor’s was, and Clinton’s, and Reagan’s. It was a costly and time-consuming creation. But should he fall in a hole, you could have this conversation all over again about someone else. This is big ruling class strategy – big big big, the biggest, long planned and much risked for. It doesn’t depend on this man – the strategy was there before the man was chosen. He’s very suitable – his brand was designed to do exactly this – but not determining. The focus on the question of how he personally got into this role in the transition from capital to the next thing is an indication of the unwillingness of progressives to recognise the strength and dangerousness of the class now dominating humanity. And this unwillingness is partly due to being terrorised and partly due to needing to rationalise ongoing complicity – and preparation for complicity in even more heinous ruling class crimes – for the shrinking rewards.
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In other words, don’t hate the player, reognise and change the game.
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He could have just underestimated their craziness. Apparently, he wasn’t the only one. Look at what’s happening in Wisconsin. Voters willingly put GOP in charge, and now workers are fighting for their lives. POTUS may have thought that the GOP wasn’t willing to actually default because they like money too much. Miscalculations are different than fundamental incompetence.
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It seems to me if progressives/labor unions were serious about structural changes, then they’d focus attention on campaign finance reform, as a start.
And it’s easy to dump on Barack Obama, but as far as I know, his election didn’t dissolve congressional powers. The House is still charged with bringing bills to the floor and passing legislation. If Dems can’t be bothered to show up during primary elections to stack the deck and fight entities like the Tea Party, then it’s unfair to expect a Democratic president to do back flips/magic tricks to make good legislation happen. When Dems decided to be apathetic in November, they CAPITULATED to the Tea Party.
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It’s time to get politically sophisticated. It seems that people were expecting the president to be Jesus the 2nd. Progress will be impossible if people are half as naive as they appear on this site.
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No – Hate all the players but understand they’re playing at a very high level of competence and discipline.
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Obama has a job and he has patrons/employers/sponsors/backers and he’s doing the job for the rewards they guarantee. It doesn’t matter whether he believes bottom to top wealth transfers are good for propertyless people or “the economy”, it matters only that he knows doing his job for the leading bloc of the ruling class elevates him and his children to their ranks, the untouchable global elite.
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Gordon Lafer,
You write:
“…I also think there’s no chance he really believes this is the road to economic health. I was in briefings by all kinds of mainstream economists who said what Summers too (no friend of the left) said — the deficit is a long term problem that should be addressed in 2013 or 2014; right now what you need to do is MORE deficit spending in order to create consumer demand to spur economic growth. He must have had all those same briefings. This isn’t a principled economic position.”
I agree with your analysis, but you need to take this further. Writing that “This isn’t a
principled economic position” is a gross understatement. Think what Obama’s economic position will mean, the millions who would be jobless who might not otherwise be, the cuts to medicare and or medicaid that will lead to people dying who might otherwise live. This is EVIL. A president who knows that his re-election strategy would involve more death and misery than would otherwise be, is an evil man. As Ian Welsh said (http://www.ianwelsh.net/if-youre-pro-obama-youre-an-idiot-on-the-payroll-or-evil/) “If you’re pro-Obama you’re an idiot, on the payroll, or evil”. I agree with Ian and do not support President Obama’s re-election. No one who claims to have any principles should support it either. What about you ? -
Obama is the first black president of the United States but no one seems able to think what that implies. If you look at his record the implications would seem to be confirmed.
Obama is the product of the Daley machine. He didn’t come out of black politics and if he had he would never have gotten this far. Harold Washington was the product of Chicago politics both black and white. Obama grew up in the white world. He rarely shows anger, because anger is threatening. He learned very young that the road to popularity and success was cool negotiation. Maybe Adolph Reed can enlighten the rest of you on the politics of performance.
It’s been out there out in the open the whole time, but liberals have a hard time dealing with race.
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“I hate the Communists and have for many years and don’t feel right about giving up my career to defend them. I will give up my film career if it is in the interests of defending something I believe in, but not this.”
Careerism was Mr. Kazan’s philosophy! Mr. Richard Schickel’s apologetic biography, rather filmography overlaid with selectively chosen personal information, only confirms that destructive self-interest. A Tree Grows in Brooklyn is one of my favorite movies.
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Natalya, however , remembers Yezhov with love. She has said in an interview “He spent a lot of time with me, more even than my mother did. He made tennis rackets for me. He made skates and skis. He made everything for me himself.” And the authors of the first English-language biography of Yezhov write, “At the dacha, Yezhov taught her to play tennis, skate, and ride a bicycle. He is remembered as a gentle, loving father showering her with presents and playing with her in the evenings after returning from the Lubyanka.
–Robert Chandler, “Appendix” to Vasily Grossman, The Road.
Yezhov was the head of NKVD and presided over the Stalinist terror during 1937 and 1938; after being replaced by Beria in 1939, he was shot in 1940. He was responsible for the deaths of close to a million people, including much of the Russian intelligentsia.
Yezhov was nice to his daughter. Stalin was nice to his daughter. Adolf Eichmann was nice to his kids. Hitler was nice to children and dogs.
People! Quit being nice to children!
That’s where it all starts!
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The slogan “the personal is political” has been popular on the left for some time. I think this is the less savory side of that. I’m thinking also of the things in Deleuze and Guattari’s Anti-Oedipus about tmolecular individuals vs molar aggregates and how the two are not and by necessity can not be congruent. Ultimately the whole is not the same as its parts. Self-interest in the neoliberal, Randian sense is not enough either. It’s amazing how such a simplistic conception of human psychology can be taken seriously in 2014, but then again those ideas aren’t popular because they’re accurate, they’re popular because they give necessary ideological support to a particular set of social and economic relationships. Basic Freudian psychoanalysis already conflicted with this conception of human behavior. Even back then it was understood that people were not merely driven by the pleasure principle, there was also a death drive, a drive which made humanity desire a return to the inorganic which was every bit as strong as the libido. It’s worse for “rational self-interest” than merely capturing half the picture though. It’s cruder and more narrowly defined than even the pleasure principle, which at least allows for individual conceptions of jouissance rather than some sort of tyranny of the rational dictating to you what you can and can’t enjoy.
I say this not excuse Kazan for selling out his friends. He could have stuck to his principles. Under the right circumstances most anyone can coerced into doing something against his or her wishes. Sometimes the saddest part of an event like the Red Scare is just how little it takes to buy people off or how much people will give up for even the most illusory chances of saving themselves. A realistic politics needs to take into account the fragility of human psychology rather than simply passing judgement and chastising people for not adhering to a specific set of ethics.